How can Frozen Fire and Look Here be favourites?
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by: DjangoArthurs
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Word Count: 343
Frozen Fire and Look Here are the two favourites with the bookies, despite having a quiet summer. Frozen Fire won the Irish Derby well, but Irish Derby winners are often only winners of the Irish Derby and little else. I don't think Frozen Fire is worth 2/1.
Look Here has bags of talent, but has not run since conning the bookies at the Oaks when romping home at 33/1. That was back on the 6th of June and what has changed in the minds of the bookmakers? The odds of 4/1 are based on that one race at Epsom, and this horse has not raced since. The Oaks is a tough race, sure - but it was at the start of the season. Another popular filly is Unsung Heroine - but again, with only two races behind her, this is nothing to go on.
So let's look for something to go by - and the two horses that do have form for us to analyse are Conduit and Doctor Fremantle. Conduit is an attractive 6/1, while Doctor Fremantle can be found at twice those odds - and it's hard to split the two. However, Doctor Fremantle's form on the softer ground, along with an excellent run of form prior to two recent fourth-placed finishes makes those odds seem excellent value.
If either of those two horses win, Sir Michael Stoute will pick up his first St. Leger - and how long has he been waiting for one? I'm not punting large on this one - there's hardly anything to go by, so I'm going to stick with a horse that has proven itself over the long, wet summer rather than either of two horses that have stayed put in the stable eating hay. Doctor Fremantle it is, then - perhaps an each-way bet for me.
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